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Cassie Sipe

Mar 5, 2024

The Shift to a New Cold War

After the end of the World War 2, the most devastating global conflict humanity has ever known, the victorious allied powers with little time to recover engaged in a new struggle in the form of the Cold War. The world saw the clash between East and West, Capitalism and Socialism. They each waged proxy wars to solidify their power for global supremacy. 

 After the Cold War ended, George Bush Sr. ushered in the New World Order, which was about asserting America's dominance as the hyperpower in the post-Cold War space.

Today, Global Powers are fighting to reevaluate the balance of power in the post-Cold War era. At present, Russia and China, and their partners in the Global South are redefining globalism in a New Cold War, thereby ushering in the re-emergence of Eurasia. 

In today’s Cold War, Russia is not the primary target but rather a litmus test for the imperialists' intended conflict with China. America has sought to supply the breakaway Chinese province of Taiwan with more and more weapons, just as it poured weapons into Ukraine in the lead up to the NATO-Russia war, which intensified with the start of Russia's SMO in February, 2022. NATO has announced it intends to expand Its influence in the Asia Pacific region.

All-out war or even an intensified proxy war between the West and China would not bode well for the global economy. In response to mounting sanctions and growing hostility, China has limited exports of rare earth minerals to the U.S.

The U.S. has proposed banning imports of Russian uranium, which would make rare earth minerals even harder to obtain, escalating the rare earth minerals trade war. Rare earth minerals are essential to a nation's military-industrial complex.

Ironically, by militarizing the seas around the Suez Canal to "protect global trade" and "safeguard Israel," the U.S. military and their naval coalition are pushing Taiwan for a conflict with mainland China.

As CIA director William Burns noted, the USA “no longer enjoys uncontested primacy;" in other words, the US is no longer the sole superpower, leading to this present Cold War 2.0. We are now living in the age of an emerging multipolar world order and someday soon the future could belong to Eurasia once more.

The Erosion of Western Hegemony

The West is losing its hegemonic dominance on 4 major fronts: military dominance, economic influence, global finance, and global influence.

The first major problem for US imperialism is the degradation of military dominance. Many Western countries are the weakest they have been in decades. The British Navy recently had to send its aircraft carrier back to port for repairs, missing a NATO drill it was scheduled to lead. More recently, the US and UK navies failed to protect a British oil tanker from an attack by Yemen's Ansarallah resistance (known in the West as the Houthis). And a UK nuclear submarine failed an important missile test.

Another problem for the American military-industrial complex is its outdated doctrine. The Palestinian and Yemeni resistance have used drone warfare and missile attacks to outsmart NATO and Israeli weapons, forcing the West to expend significant resources. The US missiles used to shoot down the Houthi drones cost millions, while Houthi drones cost only around $2000.

With today's modern warfare popularizing large-scale drone attacks, using very costly missiles is becoming an unsustainable business model, to say the least. In this way, attacks by the Axis of Resistance have proved much more cost-effective and changed the methodology of modern warfare. 

Ansarallah has successfully blockaded Israel with their attacks on global shipping in the Red Sea, effectively limiting trade from the Red Sea. This shows that resistance in the Global South can disrupt global trade by force, stopping business as usual during Israel's genocide of the Palestinians. 

Regarding the war in Ukraine, the American Military-Industrial-Complex has profited immensely; however, the reputation of its weapons are in question due to the fact Russia has decimated vast amounts of them. Despite NATO’s effort to mass-produce arms for Ukraine in its war of attrition against Russia, the US military-industrial complex will never have the industrial capacity to defeat Russia, let alone China.

The United States is trying to snuff out Russia's arms deals with other countries, even while the US remains the biggest arms dealer in the world. The US has threatened to sanction Algeria after it became the fourth-largest buyer of Russian arms.

Even more worrisome to the West is the fact that military powers like DPRK and Iran are quickly catching up or even surpassing the US in military technology capabilities in which they had once been far behind. They can now challenge the West and its vassals with their formidable military industries.

Read part 2 of this series to understand the impact of the West’s declining global influence.

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