UKRAINE'S KURSK "SUCCESS" SPEEDS OWN DEFEAT + THE NEXT US "WONDER WEAPON" FOR UKRAINE

Brian Berletic

Aug 17, 2024

Update on the conflict in Ukraine for August 19, 2024…

- As Ukrainian forces continue military operations in Kursk, Russia, the actual line of contact continues to crumble as Russian forces advance;

- Ukrainian progress in Kursk was due to a lack of Russian troops which are now flooding the area to contain and then roll back Ukrainian troops;

- Russian advances along the line of contact consists of overtaking extensive Ukrainian defensive positions;

- The Kursk incursion will raise the cost for Russia, but ultimately will accelerate the collapse of Ukraine’s own fighting capacity;

- US JASSM cruise missiles are being considered for Ukraine, a critical munition required for any future operation against China and a munition that is not produced in quantities equal or larger than even Russian-made cruise missiles;

- JASSMs are air-launched, meaning their use will be restricted by Ukraine’s small number of military aircraft capable of launching them;

For Daily Updates on Ukraine:

The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: / @theduran

Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: / @kalibratedwithscott

Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/

References:

Politico - As Kyiv makes gains in Kursk, Russia strikes back in Donetsk (August 15, 2024): https://www.politico.eu/article/ukrai ...

Washington Post - Miscalculations, divisions marked offensive planning by U.S., Ukraine (December 2023): https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/...

NY Times - The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin (February 2024): https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/wo ...

NYT - A Mysterious Plot Prompts a Rare Call From Russia to the Pentagon (July 26, 2024): https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/26/us ...

War Zone - JASSM Stealth Cruise Missiles Now On The Table For Ukraine: Report (August 15, 2024): https://www.twz.com/air/jassm-stealth ...

Politico - Biden ‘open’ to sending long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine (August 15, 2024): https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08 ...

Air and Space Forces Magazine - Lockheed Martin Looks to Boost LRASM Production as US Rushes to Buy Anti-Ship Weapons (April 2023): https://www.airandspaceforces.com/loc ...

Long War Journal - Estimating Russia’s Kh-101 Production Capacity (December 2022): https://www.longwarjournal.org/archiv ...

Reuters - Ukraine says Russia has launched over 8,000 missiles, 4,630 drones during war (February 2024): https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/...

Kyiv Post - GUR Reveals Russia's Missile Stockpile and Production Capacity (November 2023): https://www.kyivpost.com/post/23736

RFE/RL - Satellite Images Suggest Russia Is Ramping Up Production Capacity For Its War Against Ukraine (November 2023): https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-rampin ...

CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (January 2023): https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaw ...

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